Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/19/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024

Venue:  Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -3, Tennessee +3; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -3, Tennessee +3; Over/Under:  56.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -3, Tennessee +3; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  5-1 (2-1) (6th place, SEC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  5-1 (2-1) (5th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game at home against the South Carolina Gamecocks 27-25.

Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game at home against the Florida Gators 23-17 in overtime.

Alabama is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against South Carolina 27-25. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 209 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jamarion Miller led the team in rushing yards with 42. Germie Bernard led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Keon Sabb led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jihaad Campbell, Jah-Marien Latham, and Tim Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Domani Jackson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Tennessee is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida 23-17 in OT. Nico Iamaleava was the starting QB and he completed 16/26 passes for 169 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Dylan Sampson led the team in rushing yards with 112 and 3 TDs. Marquarius White led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Christian Charles led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Omarr Norman-Lott led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Arion Carter came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 2-1 conference record. Their only SEC loss was against Arkansas, but they bounced back in their last game with a win over Florida. Their offense hasn't been rolling as much since they started conference play, but the defense has still looked great, not giving up many points in their games. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 2-1 record overall. They managed to get a monster win over Georgia a few weeks ago, but they haven't looked nearly as good since that win. They ended up losing their next game right after to Vanderbilt and they are coming off a really tight win last week, barely beating South Carolina by 2 points and almost losing that one at the end too. Alabama just hasn't looked right the last 2 weeks and even though Tennessee's offense has been struggling more against SEC opponents, their defense has looked great. Tennessee will be able to stay in this game defensively with the home advantage and that gives them a real possibility to pull off the upset here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 23 Alabama 20.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 9-2 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 11-3 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 18-10 OVER as a favorite. 9-0 OVER off a home win against a conference rival. 7-1 OVER versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less.

Tennessee Volunteers: 2-6 1H ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 11-6 OVER in home lined games. 6-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 15-6 OVER in games played on a grass field.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  Q. Russaw (LB) Questionable - Leg. C. Adams (WR) Questionable - Arm. J. Hale (WR) Out - Knee.

Tennessee Volunteers:  K. Perry (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Seldon (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Matthews (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Okoye (DL) Out - Undisclosed. B. Staley (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Thomas (DB) Out - Knee.

“Another game down to the wire. We’re kind of getting accustomed to those. There’s some things that we can do to make sure it doesn’t get to that point. But we always talk about finding a way to win. As many times as it looked like we weren’t, we did.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game. 

“(After the miss), we were going to run the football and be sound in doing it. (Sampson) always has great vision, great pace. He's always been good running between the tackles.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Florida in their last game. 

WR Williams, Ryan 

WR Henderson Jr., Emmanuel

WR Bernard, Germie 

TE Dippre, CJ

TE Ouzts, Robbie

QB Milroe, Jalen

RB Miller, Jam

WR McCoy, Bru 

WR Brazzell II, Chris

WR White, Squirrel 

TE Kitselman, Miles

QB Iamaleava, Nico 

RB Sampson, Dylan

FB Harrison, Cole

Passing: J. Milroe (1483)

Rushing: J. Miller (360)

Receiving: R. Williams (576)

Touchdowns: J. Milroe (11)

Passing: N. Iamaleava (1208)

Rushing: D. Sampson (699)

Receiving: D. Thornton (295)

Touchdowns: D. Sampson (15)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (1st season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (4th season)