Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/23/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 23, 2024

Venue:  Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -13.5, Oklahoma +13.5; Over/Under:  47 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -13.5, Oklahoma +13.5; Over/Under:  47 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -13.5, Oklahoma +13.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  8-2 (4-2) (6th place, SEC)

Oklahoma Sooners:  5-5 (1-5) (13th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game at home against the Mercer Bears 52-7.

Oklahoma Sooners:  lost their last game on the road against the Missouri Tigers 30-23.

Alabama is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Mercer 52-7. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 11/16 passes for 186 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jalen Milroe led the team in rushing yards with 43 and 1 TD. Germie Bernard led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jihaad Campbell led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jihaad Campbell led the defense in sacks with 1. Qua Russaw came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 1-5 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Missouri 30-23. Jackson Arnold was the starting QB and he completed 15/24 passes for 74 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Xavier Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 56. Deion Burks led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Danny Stutsman led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 14 assisted tackles while R Mason Thomas and Jayden Jackson each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC and in the playoff conversation. They have losses to Vanderbilt and Tennessee though so they can't afford to lose another game in this playoff race. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-5 record overall and their 1-5 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They started the season with some nice wins, but things quickly fell apart in conference play as they have struggled a lot against SEC opponents in their first year of being in the conference. They have looked better in their home games with their 4-2 home record, but their offense has been really up and down all season, not putting up a ton of points in their games even when they have a good game. Oklahoma is also coming off a road loss to Missouri in their last one while Alabama is coming off a win over Mercer, but Alabama has also been rolling in their games lately and their offense has been putting up a ton of points all season. Oklahoma only has bowl eligibility left to play for, but Alabama needs this win for the CFP and this is a game where their offense can run away with it once they pull ahead. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 23, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 38 Oklahoma 17.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 22-15 ATS in all lined games. 4-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 7-4 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 6-1 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 13-5 OVER off a home win. 11-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 

Oklahoma Sooners: 6-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 2-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 5-8 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 4-0 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 12-5 1H OVER in home lined games.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  Q. Robinson (LB) Out - Elbow. C. Adams (WR) Out - Lower Leg. K. Sabb (DB) Out - Lower Body.

Oklahoma Sooners:  J. Farooq (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Bates (OL) Doubtful - Undisclosed. D. Burks (WR) Out - Concussion. J. Taylor (OL) Out - Undisclosed. A. Anthony (WR) Out - Undisclosed. T. Everett (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Barnes (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sexton (OL) Out - Leg. K. Dolby (DB) Out - Ankle. N. Anderson (WR) Out - Quadricep. G. Williams (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Gibson (WR) Out - Knee. G. Hatchett (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

“He’s just kind of a Swiss Army knife for us. You can just tell the love our team has for him." - Kalen DeBoer on Robbie Ouzts after his team’s win against Mercer in their last game. 

“In the second half, I thought our guys fought with everything they had, and it wasn’t good enough. We've (coaches) got to do a better job to help them.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against Mizzou in their last game. 

WR Williams, Ryan 

WR Bernard, Germie 

WR Law, Kendrick  

TE Dippre, CJ

TE Ouzts, Robbie

QB Milroe, Jalen

RB Miller, Jam

WR Thompson, Brenen

WR Hester, J.J.

WR Jordan, Jacob

TE Sharp, Bauer

QB Arnold, Jackson 

RB Barnes, Jovantae 

Passing: J. Milroe (2232)

Rushing: J. Milroe (608)

Receiving: R. Williams (767)

Touchdowns: J. Milroe (17)

Passing: J. Arnold (1243)

Rushing: J. Barnes (577)

Receiving: B. Sharp (299)

Touchdowns: J. Barnes (6)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (1st season)

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (3rd season)