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Oregon Ducks vs Oregon State Beavers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/14/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 14, 2024
Venue:  Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon -16.5, Oregon State +16.5; Over/Under:  50 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon -16, Oregon State +16; Over/Under:  50 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon -16.5, Oregon State +16.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Season Record

Oregon Ducks:  2-0 (0-0) (10th place, Big Ten)
Oregon State Beavers:  2-0 (0-0) (2nd place, Pac-12)

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Recent Form
Oregon Ducks:  won their last game at home against the Boise State Broncos 37-34.
Oregon State Beavers:  won their last game on the road against the San Diego State Aztecs 21-0.


Oregon Ducks vs Oregon State Beavers Preview and Analysis


Oregon is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Boise State 37-34. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 18/21 passes for 243 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 102. Evan Stewart led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Bryce Boettcher led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Jordan Burch led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Oregon State is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against San Diego State 21-0. Gevani McCoy was the starting QB and he completed 15/25 passes for 160 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jamious Griffin led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 1 TD. Trent Walker led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Thomas Collins and Melvin Jordan IV each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Nikko Taylor led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction

The current betting odds have Oregon State listed as a 16.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon State has looked good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall. They won their season opener at home against a team from the FCS, but they looked great against San Diego State last week with a 21-0 win on the road. They have a new head coach this season and they have lost a lot of talent from last year due to conference realignment, but the defense has been good so far and this is a game they will bring their best effort for. Not only is this a rivalry game for them against Oregon, but Oregon is also one of the teams that left the Pac-12 and have left Oregon State in this peculiar situation, now in a 2-team conference. This game is going to be personal for Oregon State, and Oregon hasn't looked great in their games this season even though they have a 2-0 record overall. Oregon really struggled on offense in their season opener and that was against a team from the FCS, barely beating Idaho 24-14. They weren't great last week either as they played a stronger team, Boise State, and had a much closer 37-34 win. They also gave up 34 points in that game as the defense looked terrible, and that will be something Oregon State can exploit to stay in this game. Oregon's offense has already been struggling at times and Oregon State has a defense that can give them trouble here. Oregon State is going to put everything they have into winning this game and even if they can't pull off the upset, they will fight right until the end to keep this game close. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon State to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon Oregon State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 14, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon 21 OR State 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Oregon Ducks: 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games. 10-2 (+5.30 units) on the moneyline in their last 12 games. 9-5 to the under in their last 14 games. 

Oregon State Beavers: 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games. 5-8 ATS in the 1st half of their last 13 games. 8-4 to the 1st quarter under in their last 12 games. 

Key Injuries


Oregon Ducks:  T. Brashear (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Boyle (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Ressler (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Fields (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Obidegwu (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Iuli (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bedford (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Bryant (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Oregon State Beavers:  J. East (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Holmes (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Howard (DL) Out - Knee. J. Valsin (WR) Questionable - Knee. D. Clemons (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Hill (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“I have a sense of relief because of the result. But, try to focus on the process, and there's a lot of things I think we can go and attack and fix. And there's certainly some things to fix, right? There's certainly some things to improve.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against BSU in their last game. 


"The biggest thing is the opportunity to go out and compete at the national level and on the national stage and show what we can do and do it against a great opponent. That's the bigger focus for our guys." - Trent Bray on his team’s rivalry game against Oregon this week.


Starting Lineups


Oregon Ducks
WR Holden, Traeshon
WR Stewart, Evan
WR Johnson, Tez
TE Ferguson, Terrance
QB Gabriel, Dillon
RB James, Jordan

Oregon State Beavers
WR Clemons, Darrius
WR Walker, Trent 
WR Noga, Jeremiah 
TE Terry II, Jermaine
QB McCoy, Gevani
RB Griffin, Jam

Statistical Leaders


Oregon Ducks
Passing: D. Gabriel (623)
Rushing: J. James (197)
Receiving: E. Stewart (127)
Touchdowns: T. Johnson (2)

Oregon State Beavers
Passing: G. McCoy (274)
Rushing: J. Griffin (249)
Receiving: T. Walker (124)
Touchdowns: J. Griffin (3)

Coaches:
Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)
Oregon State Beavers: Trent Bray (1st season)