Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/11/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Rockets -3; Over/Under:  221 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +2.5, Rockets -2.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +2.5, Rockets -2.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  14-9 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Houston Rockets:  16-8 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10

Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 14-9 record overall this season and they are 7-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 30 while Buddy Hield was next on the team with 27 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.7% from the field, 39% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 14-9 this season and their O/U record is 11-12.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 16-8 record overall this season and they are 9-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Clippers. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 31 while Amen Thompson was next on the team with 22 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jabari Smith Jr. led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.8% from the field, 36.6% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.6 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 16-8 this season and their O/U record is 12-11-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked really good in their games this season with their 16-8 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They are coming off a win in their last one and they have looked a lot better on their home court with their 9-3 home record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 14-9 record overall which has them in the top half of the West at the moment. They had a great start to the season where they were leading the West at one point, but the wheels have been falling off this team lately. They are coming off a win against the Timberwolves in their last one, but they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and haven't looked great lately. They have also been worse in their road games with their 7-5 road record this season. They just beat the Rockets at home the other night, but the Rockets will be looking for some revenge here and have been taking the NBA In-Season Tournament seriously. The Rockets are playing better than the Warriors are right now and they have been a force at home this year while the Warriors are still trying to get themselves back on track. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, December 11, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 119 Warriors 113.

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Golden State Warriors: 15-24 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 15-21 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 18-24 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 31-20 OVER as a road underdog. 25-13 OVER on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 14-6 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Houston Rockets: 34-19 ATS as a favorite. 22-9 ATS as a home favorite. 10-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 26-15 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 11-3 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 

Golden State Warriors:  A. Wiggins (SF) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Melton (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Houston Rockets:  F. VanVleet (PG) Day To Day - Knee. T. Eason (SF) Day To Day - Concussion.

"We need him to be the best version of himself. We have to be able to figure out whether it's play calls, whether it's certain rotation or lineup combinations, what can unlock his ability to get downhill, put pressure on the basket and demand attention from the defense. He's a big weapon for us.” - Steph Curry on Jonathan Kuminga this season. 

"Continue to be a physical presence on both ends of the court. Focus on the things you can control, such as looking to score rather than seeking fouls, playing through contact without waiting for a call, and not letting missed shots affect your performance on the other end of the court." - Ime Udoka on Alperen Sengun this season.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Buddy Hield

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Dillon Brooks

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: S. Curry (23)

APG: S. Curry (6.6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (7.9)

PPG: J. Green (19.5)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.9)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.6)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)