Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/05/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024

Venue:  Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor +12, ISU -12; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor +11.5, ISU -11.5; Over/Under:  45 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor +11.5, ISU -11.5; Over/Under:  45 points

Baylor Bears:  2-3 (0-2) (14th place, Big 12)

Iowa State Cyclones:  4-0 (1-0) (2nd place, Big 12)

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Baylor Bears:  lost their last game at home against the BYU Cougars 34-28.

Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game on the road against the Houston Cougars 20-0.

Baylor is entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against BYU 34-28. Sawyer Robertson was the starting QB and he completed 27/48 passes for 324 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Bryson Washington led the team in rushing yards with 31. Josh Cameron led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Keaton Thomas led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Elinus Noel III and Corey Gordon Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Iowa State is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Houston 20-0. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 17/28 passes for 153 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Abu Sama III led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 1 TD. Jayden Higgins led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Kooper Ebel led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while J.R. Singleton led the defense in sacks with 1. Jeremiah Cooper and Jontez Williams each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Iowa State listed as a 12 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa State has looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record. They won a big road game against their rival Iowa a few weeks ago and that has given them a ton of momentum going forward. Now they are coming off their first conference win of the season, beating Houston 20-0, and their defense looked great in that game as they didn't even give up a point. Meanwhile, Baylor hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall and their 0-2 conference record. They are coming off a loss at home to BYU in their last game, a game they were down big right from the start, and they also lost a road game against Colorado in OT, another game that they were leading in late. They also have a loss to Utah this season that didn't count as a conference game, but they have lost all 3 of their games against Big 12 opponents this year. Baylor has been getting off to some really slow starts in their games and that has hurt them a lot. Iowa State is another tough team with a really good defense, just like they saw last week with BYU, and now they will have to be on the road for this one. Iowa State doesn't have a great offense, but they have been putting up enough points to win comfortably and Baylor doesn't really have a great defense. Iowa State will be able to put up points on this defense at home while Baylor struggles to move the ball. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa State to cover the spread in this game. 

Baylor Iowa State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 30 Baylor 13.

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Baylor Bears: 4-7 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 1-4 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better. 5-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 1-4 1H ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points.

Iowa State Cyclones: 4-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 8-5 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 3-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 

Baylor Bears:  B. Washington (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Iowa State Cyclones:  J. Travis (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.

“Our second halves have been really good. Our offense has stepped up, our defense has stepped up. So, we know the kind of team that we are. We've just got to start that way. We’ve got to start fast and just play like we are, play confident and trust that we can win. Because we can.” - Caleb Parker after their loss against BYU in their last game. 

“I feel like culturally we are in a really positive spot. I think how we play the game of football has been enjoyable to be a part of, to be quite honest with you, and the leadership from this team … has been the ability to come every day and have real competitive endurance. The ability to keep getting better and growing.” - Matt Campbell after his team’s win against Houston in their last game. 

WR Presley, Hal

WR Cameron, Josh

WR Hawkins, Ashtyn  

TE Johnson, Kelsey

QB Finn, Dequan

RB Reese, Richard

FB Yates, Gavin

WR Higgins, Jayden 

WR Ngoyi, Beni

WR Noel, Jaylin 

TE Brahmer, Benjamin 

TE Klotz, Stevo 

QB Becht, Rocco

RB Sama III, Abu 

Passing: S. Robertson (787)

Rushing: B. Washington (158)

Receiving: J. Cameron (267)

Touchdowns: S. Robertson (3)

Passing: R. Becht (896)

Rushing: A. Sama (225)

Receiving: J. Noel (353)

Touchdowns: J. Higgins (4)

Coaches:

Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (5th season)

Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)