Fargo's NBA Signature Enforcer (47-26 Run)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns
- Time
- 04/26/2024 10:52 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Phoenix Suns -4 (-112)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Suns are up against the wall in what has been one of the most disappointing seasons with one of the best rosters coming in and not even competing for one of the top spots in the Western Conference. Phoenix does look left for dead after falling behind 0-2 in this series and being dominated twice and while only 8.6 percent of the 313 times that teams were down 0-2 and came back to win, 22 of the 27 times it was the road team that came back including six times the last three years. This is not a series bet but just a Game Three bet for a chance and we expect this team to get up off the mat and come to life. Minnesota has been dominant at home as it went to 32-11 following the first two wins in this series but the Timberwolves have not been the same team on the road where they are 26-15. That is certainly still good but it has been situationally dependent where it is 16-5 as a favorite. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, playing a winning team. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (538) Phoenix Suns