Sean's 10* NBA 1ST RD TOTAL OF THE YEAR!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
- Time
- 04/26/2024 08:18 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Over 209.5 (-110)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Dallas at 8 pm et on Friday.
The first two games in this series both stayed 'under' the total. In fact, neither contest came close to toppling the total and as a result we're working with a much lower number in Game 3 on Friday. I see a catalyst for change at work here as the scene shifts to Dallas. I certainly don't expect either team to shoot as poorly as they did in Games 1 and 2. Note that the 'over' is 26-23 in the Clippers last 49 games after giving up 100 points or less in their previous contest including an 8-6 mark in that situation this season. The 'over' is also 25-21 with the Clips coming off a game where they scored 100 points or less including a 5-3 record this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 45-37 in the Mavericks last 82 contests as a favorite of between 3.5 and 9.5 points including a 17-13 mark in that situation this season. The two regular season meetings between these two teams here in Dallas totalled 270 and 231 points. Take the over (10*).