Free Picks
NHL - Moneyline - Thu, Nov 14 @ 07:07 PM
Sean Murphy's JETS-LIGHTNING WINNER!
Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning -111 (BetOnline)
Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Winnipeg at 7 pm ET on Thursday. While the Jets boast an impressive 15-1 record, they’re coming off a high-intensity win over the Rangers, which could lead to a slight dip in energy as they travel to Tampa. The Lightning, meanwhile, have ...
Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Winnipeg at 7 pm ET on Thursday. While the Jets boast an impressive 15-1 record, they’re coming off a high-intensity win over the Rangers, which could lead to a slight dip in energy as they travel to Tampa. The Lightning, meanwhile, have been steady at home with a 4-1-1 record, and their tight, defensive-minded performance in Tuesday’s shootout loss to the Flyers highlighted their ability to grind out close games. Tampa Bay’s solid home ice record demonstrates their comfort level and resilience in their own arena, where they’ll look to contain a potent Jets offense. The Jets took the first matchup this season 7-4, but with Tampa Bay’s recent home form and defensive adjustments, the Lightning are well-positioned to respond effectively. This game sets up well for Tampa to put in a strong performance, particularly as they aim to avenge the early-season loss. Take Tampa Bay. Projected score: Lightning 4, Jets 3.
NCAAF - Point Spread - Thu, Nov 14 @ 07:30 PM
Brian’s 9* NCAAF Thursday Executive Order
East Carolina vs Tulsa
East Carolina -14.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
For my best free pick on the board for Thursday I am looking at the East Carolina Pirates traveling to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes. This line looks like the books are begging for Tulsa money. 5-4 team at a 3-6 team not to much difference in records and Tulsa is off a bye week but honestly...
For my best free pick on the board for Thursday I am looking at the East Carolina Pirates traveling to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes. This line looks like the books are begging for Tulsa money. 5-4 team at a 3-6 team not to much difference in records and Tulsa is off a bye week but honestly these two teams going in opposite directions. East Carolina has won 2 straight games and are looking to clinch bowl eligibility with their 6th win of the season. Revenge spot as they lost at home last season to this team 29-27. East Carolina a very strong offense and Tulsa one of the worst defenses in college football. Play on East Carolina minus the points ***DO NOT MISS MY TITANIUM WAGER IN THE NFL TONIGHT 5-2 LAST 7 NFL AND 27-16 63% LAST 43 TITANIUMS***
NCAAF - Point Spread - Sat, Nov 16 @ 07:30 PM
OSKEIM'S FREE NCAA FOOTBALL UNDERDOG WINNER
Tennessee vs Georgia
Tennessee +10 (-110) (BetOnline)
Since 2018, college football favorites of three points or less (or underdogs) coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than 362 total yards are 223-175-8 ATS (56%) versus opponents entering off two or more consecutive ATS losses, including 190-144-5 ATS (56.9%) since 2019, covering the sprea...
Since 2018, college football favorites of three points or less (or underdogs) coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than 362 total yards are 223-175-8 ATS (56%) versus opponents entering off two or more consecutive ATS losses, including 190-144-5 ATS (56.9%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +2.1 points per game. Since 1997, college football road teams that failed to cover the spread in their last five meetings with the current opponent are 62-41 SU (60.2%) and 62-39-2 ATS (61.4%) if one additional parameter is satisfied, covering the spread by an average of +2.7 points per game. Since 2011, college football teams coming off a game in which they scored no more than one touchdown are 346-439-20 ATS (44.1%) versus opponents entering off two or more consecutive wins, including 151-199-5 ATS (43.1%) since 2019. Since 2015, college football teams coming off a game in which they defended 52 or more rushing attempts and allowed fewer than fourteen pass completions are 231-289-21 ATS (44.4%) from Game 4 out, including 56-94-3 ATS (37.3%) since 2021, falling short of market expectations by an average of -2.4 points per game. Since 1995, college football home favorites of -11 or less in Weeks 1-13 with totals of greater than 48 points are 61-91-4 ATS (40.1%) following an upset loss as conference road favorites of less than two touchdowns. Finally, my math model only favors Georgia by -6.7 points and road teams coming off an extended homestand (4+ games) are 40-31 SU and 42-26-3 ATS since 2016. With underdogs in SEC conference games standing at 32-15-1 ATS this season, take Tennessee as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Saturday, November 16.
NFL - Point Spread - Sun, Nov 17 @ 01:00 PM
Doc's Sunday NFL Football Free Play
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears +6.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #452 Chicago Bears over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) Just feel this line is an overreaction to the Bears game last week against the Patriots. This is still the NFL, and I do not feel there is much carryover from week to week and expect a muc...
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #452 Chicago Bears over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) Just feel this line is an overreaction to the Bears game last week against the Patriots. This is still the NFL, and I do not feel there is much carryover from week to week and expect a much better effort from the Chicago this Sunday against their longtime rivals. The Packers are coming off of a bye week, but QB Love has been throwing a lot of interceptions. I do not see the Packers winning this road game in a rout and we will take the points with the home underdog. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring top plays in college basketball, college football, NFL Football, NBA and UFC! Sign-up now and let 53 years of handicapping experience work for you.
NFL - Over / Under - Sun, Nov 17 @ 08:20 PM
OSKEIM'S FREE NFL TOTALS WINNER
Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Under 48 (-110) (BetOnline)
Since 2015, NFL teams playing two or more consecutive road games are 401-313-19 to the Under (56.2%). Since 2017, Sunday Night Football games are 78-47-5 to the Under (63.4%) during the regular season, covering the total by an average margin of -2.5 points per game. Since 1989, NFL road teams f...
Since 2015, NFL teams playing two or more consecutive road games are 401-313-19 to the Under (56.2%). Since 2017, Sunday Night Football games are 78-47-5 to the Under (63.4%) during the regular season, covering the total by an average margin of -2.5 points per game. Since 1989, NFL road teams from October out whose over/under margin has gone over by fourteen or more points in each of their last two games are 101-77-4 to the Under (56.7%), including 27-13 UNDER (67.5%) since 2015, going under by an average of -3.1 points per game. Since 2008, NFL teams coming off a divisional road loss in which they allowed 35 or more points are 77-57-4 to the Under (58.8%) in games with totals of less than 54 points, including 25-16-2 UNDER (61%) since 2019. Since 1996, NFL teams coming off a Thursday game in which they scored 31 or more points are 35-19-5 to the Under (64.8%), including 18-8-2 UNDER (69.2%) since 2016, going under by an average of -3.0 points per game. Since 2019, late afternoon and late evening games are 184-141-8 to the Under (56.6%), including 89-67-2 UNDER (57.1%) since 2022. Finally, the Chargers are 19-1-1 to the Under (95%) since November 22, 2010, at home following a win in which they allowed 100 or more rushing yards, covering the total by an average of -8.4 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Sunday, November 17.Free newsletter
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