Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/22/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, April 22, 2024

Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +114, Bruins -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +115, Bruins -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +115, Bruins -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  46-26-10 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Boston Bruins:  47-20-15 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  4-5-1 last 10

Boston Bruins:  6-4-0 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 102 points, a 46-26-10 record overall, and they were 24-11-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Bruins in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-1. David Kämpf scored 1 goal for them in that game. Connor Dewar and Ryan Reaves each led the team in assists with 1 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 23 shots with 19 saves and a .826 save percentage. Their offense has scored 303 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 263 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Bruins are entering this game with 109 points, a 47-20-15 record overall, and they were 24-11-6 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, winning that one at home 5-1. Jake DeBrusk led the team in goals scored with 2 while John Beecher, Brandon Carlo, and Trent Frederic each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Brad Marchand and Charlie McAvoy each led the team in assists with 2 while Jake DeBrusk, John Beecher, Brandon Carlo, and David Pastrňák each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jeremy Swayman was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 36 shots with 35 saves and a .972 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Bruins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Bruins and the 3rd seeded Maple Leafs in the Atlantic Division for Round 1 of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. The Bruins have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on their home ice. The Bruins have looked great on home ice all year with their 24-11-6 home record and they continued that on Saturday with another home win to start this series off on the right foot. The Bruins were eliminated in the 1st round of the playoffs last year against the Florida Panthers after taking a lead in that series too so they are going to learn from their mistake last year and keep their foot on the gas. The Leafs have been a better road team this season than they have been at home, but they showed why they haven't beaten the Bruins in a playoff series in over 50 years with that embarrassing 5-1 loss in game 1. The Bruins know they have had a ton of success against the Leafs in the playoffs over the years so they are going to take advantage of this golden opportunity to reach the 2nd round. With the Leafs being better on the road this season, this is an important game for the Bruins to win as they very well could end this series in 4 games with 2 wins in Toronto. The Leafs didn't really have much of an answer for the Bruins in game 1 and this game is going to be very similar as the Bruins do what they always do in the playoffs and beat the Leafs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bruins to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Bruins Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, April 22, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bruins 4 Leafs 2.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 158-106 (-23 units) on the moneyline in all games. 50-47 (-28.8 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 28-22 (-12.1 units) on the moneyline revenging a road loss versus opponent. 8-4 OVER after allowing 3 goals or more in 5 straight games. 16-7 OVER off 2 consecutive losses of 2 goals or more to division rivals. 30-15 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Boston Bruins: 169-91 (+25.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 58-28 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 36-21 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline off a win against a division rival. 11-2 OVER in the first round of the playoffs. 4-0 OVER when leading in a playoff series. 37-25 OVER after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  W. Nylander (RW) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. B. McMann (C) Ques Mon - Lower Body. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

Boston Bruins:  J. Brazeau (RW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. D. Forbort (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Poitras (C) out for season - Shoulder. M. Lucic (LW) out for season - Ankle.

“In the second period, we had a couple of chances, really good chances, some of our best chances in the game. Matthews (had) a chance to even the score. We don’t do that, and ... it ends up in our net. Then the penalties pop up, which allowed them to pull away in the game. This time of year, you can’t make those mistakes. The team that does ends up on the wrong side of the game.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s loss against the Bruins in game 1 of this series on Saturday.

“I thought I thought it was 1-1 as soon as he got by Sway. We can’t give Matthews those kind of opportunities. He’s too good a goal-scorer.” - Jim Montgomery after his team’s win against the Leafs in game 1 of this series on Saturday.

LW Bertuzzi, Tyler

C Matthews, Auston

RW Domi, Max

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Lyubushkin, Ilya

G Samsonov, Ilya

LW Marchand, Brad

C Coyle, Charlie

RW DeBrusk, Jake

LD Grzelcyk, Matt

RD McAvoy, Charlie

G Swayman, Jeremy

Points: A. Matthews (107)

Goals: A. Matthews (69)

Assists: M. Marner (59)

GAA: M. Jones (2.87)

Points: D. Pastrnak (110)

Goals: D. Pastrnak (47)

Assists: D. Pastrnak (63)

GAA: J. Swayman (2.53)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)

Boston Bruins: Jim Montgomery (2nd season)