TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/22/2024

Game Time: 9:55 pm ET, Friday, March 22, 2024

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU -4, USU +4; Over/Under:  151 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU -4, USU +4; Over/Under:  151 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU -4.5, USU +4.5; Over/Under:  150.5 points

TCU Horned Frogs:  21-12 (9-9) (7th place, Big 12)

Utah State Aggies:  27-6 (14-4) (1st place, MWC)

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TCU Horned Frogs:  2-3  last 5

Utah State Aggies:  4-1  last 5

TCU is entering this game with a 21-12 record overall, a 9-9 record in conference games, and they are 3-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Houston Cougars in their last game. Micah Peavy led the team in points per game in that game with 13 while Jameer Nelson Jr. was next on the team with 9. JaKobe Coles led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Micah Peavy led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 23.3% from the field, 10% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 19-14 this season and their O/U record is 18-15.

Utah State is entering this game with a 27-6 record overall, a 14-4 conference record, and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the San Diego State Aztecs in their last game. Great Osobor led the team in points in that game with 19 while Ian Martinez was next on the team with 16. Darius Brown II led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Darius Brown II, Ian Martinez, Great Osobor, and Isaac Johnson each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 40% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 65.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.3 PPG against them. Utah State has an ATS record of 14-15-2 this season and their O/U record is 19-12.

The current betting odds have Utah State listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Utah State has looked really good in their games this season with their 27-6 record overall and their 14-4 conference record in the MWC which has them leading the way. They did end up losing early on in their conference tournament, but they were still the best team in the conference during the regular season and they have also been great in their neutral site games with their 5-1 record in those. Meanwhile, TCU hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 21-12 record overall and their 9-9 conference record in the Big 12. They haven't been any better in their neutral site games either with their 3-3 record in those. They haven't looked good in their games lately with their 2-3 record in their last 5 games and they weren't good in their conference tournament either. Utah State may have lost early on in their conference tournament but they have been a lot more consistent throughout the season as they were the best team in their conference, and they are also the hotter team coming into this one with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games. Utah State has the talent to pull off an upset win here with how good they have looked all season. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

TCU Utah State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 22, 2024 (9:55 pm ET start time) is Utah State 77 TCU 71.

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TCU Horned Frogs: 21-9 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 10-3 ATS after scoring 60 points or less. 26-16 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 24-17 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 59-35 UNDER after a loss by 15 points or more. 10-3 UNDER after a game with 51 or more rebounds.

Utah State Aggies: 8-15 ATS as an underdog. 8-15 ATS in a postseason tournament game. 4-10 ATS after a game forcing the opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers. 8-3 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. 44-24 UNDER after allowing 80 points or more. 8-4 UNDER in NCAA tournament games.

TCU Horned Frogs:  None.

Utah State Aggies:  M. Agbonkpolo (F) out for season - Foot.

“It wasn't our day to make shots. I don't know how many were tough shots. I thought there were layups, we had a couple of kickout 3s off rebounds. It's probably something to do with them, because you can't take away from what they've done game after game. Their numbers are off the charts.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s loss against Houston in their game of the Big 12 Tournament on Thursday.

”They were the tougher team, the more physical team. They kind of brought the fight, and we didn’t respond at times. That’s what San Diego State does to people. You have to punch back, and I thought we did early. We had some careless fouls. Great picking up his second. He’s too good of a player to pick up a foul like that, and that changed the game. I think they outscored us by 14 the last six and a half minutes of that first half, but it was toughness plays.” - Danny Sprinkle after his team’s loss against SDSU in their last game of the MWC Tournament on Friday.

A. Anderson 

E. Miller 

M. Peavy 

T. Tennyson 

E. Udeh

D. Brown 

M. Falslev 

I. Johnson 

I. Martinez 

G. Osobor

PPG: E. Miller (16)

APG: A. Anderson III (3.4)

Reb/G: E. Miller (5.8)

PPG: G. Osobor (17.6)

APG: D. Brown II (6.4)

Reb/G: G. Osobor (9)

Coaches:

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (8th season)

Utah State Aggies: Danny Sprinkle (1st season)