North Carolina Tar Heels vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/25/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 25, 2023

Venue:  Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC 

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC -2.5, NCSU +2.5; Over/Under:  55 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC -2.5, NCSU +2.5; Over/Under:  55 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC -2.5, NCSU +2.5; Over/Under:  55 points

North Carolina Tar Heels:  8-3 (4-3) (5th place, ACC)

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  8-3 (5-2) (3rd place, ACC)

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North Carolina Tar Heels:  lost their last game on the road against the Clemson Tigers 31-20.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  won their last game on the road against the Virginia Tech Hokies 35-28.

North Carolina is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 4-3 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Clemson 31-20. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 16/36 passes for 209 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Omarion Hampton led the team in rushing yards with 178 and 2 TDs. Devontez Walker led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Antavious Lane led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

NC State is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Virginia Tech 35-28. Brennan Armstrong was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 203 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brennan Armstrong led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 2 TDs. Kevin "KC" Concepcion led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Payton Wilson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Payton Wilson led the defense in sacks with 1. Bishop Fitzgerald came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have NC State listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. NC State had a rocky start to the season but they have looked a lot better lately with their 8-3 record overall and their 5-2 conference record. They have also looked really good in their road games with a 4-1 road record this season and they have been rolling in their games lately, easily being one of the hottest teams in the ACC. North Carolina has also looked really good all year with their 8-3 record overall but they have actually struggled more against ACC opponents with their 4-3 record in conference play. UNC is also coming off a loss against Clemson in their last game as they have been slipping in their games lately, starting to regress over the last few weeks. NC State has actually been the better team in their games over the last few weeks and they have the home advantage in this rivalry game where neither team really has anything to play for so the value is with NC State to pull off the upset win at home. The best way to place a bet here is on NC State to cover the spread in this game. 

North Carolina North Carolina State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 25, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is NC State 23 UNC 20.

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North Carolina Tar Heels: 1-5 ATS as a road favorite. 2-8 ATS after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 5-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 3 points or less. 8-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 

North Carolina State Wolfpack: 5-1 ATS as a home underdog. 6-0 ATS after playing a conference game. 7-2 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 5-1 UNDER off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  G. Pettaway (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Coe (PK) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Cowan (DL) out for season - Upper Body. B. Kiernan (P) out for season - Lower Body. K. Paysour (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Randolph (TE) out for season - Lower Body.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  D. Jones II (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Allen (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Morris (QB) out for season - Redshirt. R. Ashford (S) out for season - Knee. J. Harris (S) out for season - Pectoral.

"I want to congratulate Clemson. Dabo has obviously gotten his team turned around and they're playing much better. They've played great at home, last three games at home they've been really dominant. Proud of the effort that our kids played with, they played really hard, played tough, but never gave up.” - Mack Brown after his team’s loss against Clemson in their last game. 

“He’s just having fun. He had such a tough year last year. I think he had such a desire to fix that, and sometimes you press. It’s, ‘I’ve got to be better. I’ve got to be better,’ but that’s not how you get better. You play better by doing what the offense needs for you to do and letting your skillset be your skillset. … Just play the game. Play with your teammates, and enjoy it, and that’s what he’s doing now.” - Dave Doeren after his team’s win against VA Tech in their last game. 

WR Walker, Devontez 

WR Jones, J.J.   

WR McCollum, Nate 

TE Copenhaver, John 

QB Maye, Drake 

RB Hampton, Omarion

WR Gray, Julian

WR Lesane, Keyon 

WR Concepcion, Kevin 

WR Rooks, Porter 

TE Pennix, Trent  

QB Armstrong, Brennan  

RB Raphael, Kendrick  

FB Poole, Jordan 

Passing: D. Maye (3354)

Rushing: O. Hampton (1414)

Receiving: D. Walker (670)

Touchdowns: O. Hampton (16)

Passing: B. Armstrong (1285)

Rushing: B. Armstrong (522)

Receiving: K. Concepcion (636)

Touchdowns: K. Concepcion (8)

Coaches:

North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (5th season)

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Dave Doeren (11th season)