Mississippi Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/30/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 30, 2023

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +4.5, PSU -4.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +5, PSU -5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +4.5, PSU -4.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Mississippi Rebels:  10-2 (6-2) (2nd place, SEC West)

Penn State Nittany Lions:  10-2 (7-2) (3rd place, Big Ten East)

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Mississippi Rebels:  won their last game on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 17-7.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Michigan State Spartans 42-0.

Ole Miss is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 17-7. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 14/26 passes for 96 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 119 and 1 TD. Caden Prieskorn led the receivers with 38 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Daijahn Anthony led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Deantre Prince led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Penn State is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Michigan State 42-0. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 292 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kaytron Allen led the team in rushing yards with 137. Nick Singleton led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Adisa Isaac led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Abdul Carter led the defense in sacks with 2. Jaylen Reed came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this Peach Bowl game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall. Their only 2 losses this season were against Ohio State and Michigan who are both ranked inside the top 10 in the country. Meanwhile, Ole Miss also looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 2 losses were against Georgia and Alabama who are both ranked inside the top 10 in the country too. Both of these teams have looked great all season with losses against better teams but Penn State is entering this game as the higher ranked team and has been for the entire season. Penn State also has the advantage here with less key players entering the transfer portal, and they also have the better defense with one of the best in the nation while Ole Miss has struggled to keep points off the board all year. Penn State fell short of the Big Ten Championship but they will be looking to finish the year strong with all the players they have still playing in this game and their great defense will be what gives them the edge in this game as Ole Miss will struggle to put up points. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi Penn State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 30, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Penn State 31 Ole Miss 16.

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Mississippi Rebels: 1-5 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. 4-12 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 24-14 UNDER in all games. 11-5 UNDER in a bowl game. 8-2 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive unders. 12-6 UNDER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.

Penn State Nittany Lions: 25-12 ATS in all games. 22-6 ATS as a favorite. 29-14 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals. 11-4 UNDER against SEC opponents. 10-3 UNDER after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers.

Mississippi Rebels:  S. Sanders (QB) Out Sat - Eligibility. Z. Franklin (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. Q. Davis (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  H. Wallace III (WR) Ques Sat - Arm.

“I’m really proud of our players. I thought our guys played great defense pretty much the whole night. We played really well in the second half running the football and then finished well running the football. We weren’t perfect by any means. Excited to get the trophy back.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against MS State in their last game of the college football regular season.

“We won 10 games this season, there are very few programs that are able to do that, and we've done it in back-to-back seasons. I am very proud of what we’ve done.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against MSU in their last game of the college football regular season.

WR Harris, Tre 

WR Wade, Dayton 

WR Watkins, Jordan 

TE Prieskorn, Caden   

QB Dart, Jaxson 

RB Judkins, Quinshon

WR Cephas, Dante 

WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre 

WR Saunders, Kaden 

TE Johnson, Theo 

TE Warren, Tyler 

QB Allar, Drew 

RB Singleton, Nicholas

Passing: J. Dart (2985)

Rushing: Q. Judkins (1052)

Receiving: T. Harris (851)

Touchdowns: Q. Judkins (16)

Passing: D. Allar (2336)

Rushing: K. Allen (851)

Receiving: K. Lambert-Smith (673)

Touchdowns: N. Singleton (9)

Coaches:

Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (4th season)

Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (10th season)