Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/28/2024

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 28, 2024

Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +3, Ravens -3; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +3.5, Ravens -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +3.5, Ravens -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  11-6 (1st place, AFC West)

Baltimore Ravens:  13-4 (1st place, AFC North)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 27-24.

Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Houston Texans 34-10.

The Chiefs are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Buffalo Bills 27-24 in the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 17/23 passes for 215 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Justin Reid led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Ravens are entering this game with a 13-4 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-3 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 34-10 in the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 16/22 passes for 152 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Lamar Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 100 and 2 TDs. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall and they have looked a lot better in their games lately after struggling a bit through the middle of the season. They have looked better in their road games all season too with their 6-2 road record. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked great in their games this season with their 13-4 record overall which is the number 1 seed in the AFC and also the best record in the entire NFL this year. The Ravens are also 6-3 in their home games and won their playoff game there by 24 points last week, but this time they aren't facing the Texans. The Ravens have definitely looked like the best team in the NFL this season the way they finished the season and they also have one of the best defenses in the league. Defense has also been a strength of the Chiefs this season though and as much as they have struggled this year, the Chiefs have looked a lot better lately, Mahomes winning his 1st playoff road game in their last one, and this is still the defending Super Bowl champions here too. The Ravens have looked great at home all season but the Chiefs still have a ton of talent with Mahomes at QB and they will fight to keep this game within a field goal if they can't win it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 28, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Ravens 21.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 13-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-4 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 6-3 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 13-6 UNDER in all games. 6-1 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-1 UNDER after a win by 3 or less points.

Baltimore Ravens: 9-17 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 4-10 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. 3-13 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game. 24-13 UNDER as a favorite. 17-9 UNDER in playoff games. 17-4 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite.

Kansas City Chiefs:  S. Moore (WR) Ques Jan 28 - Knee. K. Toney (WR) Ques Jan 28 - Hip. W. Morris (OL) Ques Jan 28 - Concussion. D. Nnadi (DT) Ques Jan 28 - Tricep. W. Gay (LB) Ques Jan 28 - Neck. M. Edwards (S) Ques Jan 28 - Concussion. C. Jones (LB) I-R - Chest. N. Remigio (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. McKinnon (RB) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Cook (S) Out indefinitely - Ankle. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

Baltimore Ravens:  M. Humphrey (CB) Ques Jan 28 - Calf. T. Wallace (WR) Ques Jan 28 - Knee. D. Phillips (LB) Ques Jan 28 - Shoulder. M. Andrews (TE) Ques Jan 28 - Ankle. D. Williams (CB) I-R - Undisclosed. D. Worley (CB) I-R - Head. J. Armour-Davis (CB) I-R - Concussion. M. Hamm (LB) I-R - Lower Body. K. Mitchell (RB) I-R - Knee. D. Ojabo (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“First of all, this is a great environment, man. It really is. We did hear it all week, man, about playing a road game, and we’re here to prove a point and show that we can play anywhere.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Bills in their last game. 

“Our fans are going to get a chance to cheer just as loud or louder than they did in this game, and they were amazing. I thought our fans were incredible. Man, it was deafening out there.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game. 

WR Watson, Justin

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez 

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

WR Beckham JR., Odell

WR Bateman, Rashod 

WR Flowers, Zay 

TE Likely, Isaiah 

QB Jackson, Lamar 

RB Edwards, Gus  

FB Ricard, Patrick

Passing: P. Mahomes (4183)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (935)

Receiving: T. Kelce (984)

Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (9)

Passing: L. Jackson (3678)

Rushing: L. Jackson (821)

Receiving: Z. Flowers (858)

Touchdowns: G. Edwards (13)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)

Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)