Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/29/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Apr 28, 2024
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Monday, April 29, 2024
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -110, Knights -110; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars -110, Knights -110; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars -110, Knights -110; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  45-29-8 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  5-4-1 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-10-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2 in overtime. Wyatt Johnston led the team in goals scored with 2 while Miro Heiskanen scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jason Robertson led the team in assists with 2 while Wyatt Johnston led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 34 shots with 32 saves and a .941 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 98 points, a 45-29-8 record overall, and they were 27-12-2 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one at home 3-2 in OT. Jack Eichel and Brayden McNabb each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Brayden McNabb and Chandler Stephenson each led the team in assists with 1 while Jack Eichel led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 46 shots with 43 saves and a .935 save percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 245 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Wild Card, the Golden Knights, for Round 1 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Golden Knights have a 2-1 series lead after the Stars won game 3 of this series on the road. The Stars put a lot into game 3 to get 1 back in this series as they outshot the Knights in that game and managed to get the win. They still needed overtime to get that win in a really tight game though, and it isn't going to be any easier here with the Knights knowing they can really control this series going back to Dallas with a win here. The Stars have looked good in their road games this season but the Knights have also looked a lot better on home ice with their 27-12-2 home record. Winning those first 2 games in this series on the road was huge for the Knights and they are still the defending Stanley Cup champions so they will be looking to bounce back after such a close loss on home ice. The Stars got game 3 back but needed OT to win it and they really haven't been too convincing in these first 3 games. This is the game where the championship experience kicks in for the Knights and they will use it to take a commanding 3-1 series lead going back to Dallas. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Stars Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, April 29, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Knights 4 Stars 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 84-73 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 34-32 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 11-5 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs. 22-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more.

Vegas Golden Knights: 68-33 (+30 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 33-19 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline off a home loss. 34-21 UNDER after losing their previous game in overtime. 25-14 UNDER when leading in a playoff series. 24-14 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  M. Marchment (LW) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. R. Faksa (C) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Vegas Golden Knights:  N. Hague (D) Ques Mon - Lower Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.


Notable Quotes


“What a player. He still can’t get in the casino and play cards, he’s not old enough, it’s unbelievable. Really incredible play by one of ... the great young players, the next generation of stars of this league. I thought he was just outstanding tonight for a kid to be under 21 years old and be on that ice with that level of player and look like he did all night tonight, just an outstanding player.” - Pete DeBoer on Wyatt Johnston after his team’s win against the Knights in game 3 of this series on Saturday.


“At some point, you have to get to your game. It just took us too long. Now having said that, we weathered it because of Logan. He gave us every chance to get back in the game and we did. So once it was 2-2, then it was a little different. But they executed better than we did. You could see it in overtime. They had more jump, more urgency.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 3 of this series on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Johnston, Wyatt
LD Harley, Thomas
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Hanifin, Noah
RD Pietrangelo, Alex
G Thompson, Logan

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (80)
Goals: W. Johnston (32)
Assists: J. Robertson (51)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Marchessault (69)
Goals: J. Marchessault (42)
Assists: M. Stone (37)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.70)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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