College Basketball January Update- Four Teams To Buy Low On

I recently took a look at four teams you might want to sell high on based on multiple factors. Now, I want to take a look at four college basketball teams you might want to buy low on in the coming weeks and months. 

Missouri Tigers (4-13 ATS) Missouri is a miserable 4-13 ATS so far this year. I don’t think Missouri is a good team by any means, but the Tigers are likely a bit undervalued in the market at this point. Missouri has played a pretty difficult schedule thus far. The Tigers have also had terrible “free throw defense” with opponents shooting a whopping 76.9% from the free throw line against them. That should regress to the mean in time. Missouri does struggle on the glass, so I would be careful about backing them against great rebounding teams. In general though, teams with this bad of an ATS record in the middle of the season have been good teams to back since the market is so low on them.

Detroit Titans (5-14 ATS) This is a team I’m buying VERY LOW on. Detroit is a ridiculous 0-19 on the season. There are obvious buy signs on this team right now though. First, Detroit just got back their star Jayden Stone. They have easily covered both spreads against N Kentucky and Robert Morris (2 OT loss) with Stone back in the lineup. He’s their best player by a huge margin, and he’ll make a big difference for the team. Also, Detroit has been very unlucky this season. Shot Quality ranks them as the single unluckiest team in the country (362 teams). They are a bad team, but I think they’ll be pretty good ATS moving forward.

Pacific Tigers (3-14 ATS) Another really ugly one- by now you are probably understanding the theme here. These are not easy teams to bet, but these types of teams often have value at this point. Pacific has been on the road for three straight games, but they have quite a few home games coming up in the near future. Pacific took a very good San Francisco team to overtime at home in their last home contest. The Tigers beat Cal on the road earlier this year. This team returned a lot of the same guys they had last year, and last season this was an excellent offense. I expect their very low shooting percentages to improve as the season goes along. 

UMKC Roos (5-11 ATS) UMKC is one of those rare teams in the Summit League that tries to win lower scoring games by slowing things down and winning with defense. They have committed far too many fouls so far this season. UMKC is an excellent rebounding team and that gives them a nice matchup advantage over several of the teams in the Summit. They blew out both Oral Roberts and Portland State at home. Those are two solid teams. The upside is there for UMKC, but they need to be a little more consistent. The marketplace is very low on them now.