Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/25/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Apr 23, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, April 25, 2024
Venue:  UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Hurricanes -162, Islanders +136; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Hurricanes -160, Islanders +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Hurricanes -160, Islanders +130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Carolina Hurricanes:  52-23-7 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)
New York Islanders:  39-27-16 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Carolina Hurricanes:  8-2-0 last 10
New York Islanders:  7-2-1 last 10



Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders Preview and Analysis


The Hurricanes are entering this game with 111 points, a 52-23-7 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Islanders in their last game, winning that one at home 5-3. Seth Jarvis, Sebastian Aho, Jake Guentzel, Jordan Martinook, and Teuvo Teräväinen each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Seth Jarvis and Andrei Svechnikov each led the team in assists with 2 while Jordan Martinook and Jaccob Slavin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Frederik Andersen was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 12 shots with 9 saves and a .750 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 279 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 216 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.


The Islanders are entering this game with 94 points, a 39-27-16 record overall, and they were 21-10-10 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-3. Bo Horvat, Anders Lee, and Kyle Palmieri each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Mathew Barzal, Casey Cizikas, Pierre Engvall, Brock Nelson, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, and Mike Reilly each led the team in assists with 1 while Kyle Palmieri led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Semyon Varlamov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 38 shots with 34 saves and a .895 save percentage. Their offense has scored 246 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 263 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.


Hurricanes vs Islanders Prediction

The current betting odds have the Islanders listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Hurricanes and the 3rd seeded Islanders in the Metropolitan Division for Round 1 of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. The Hurricanes have a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 of this series on their home ice. The Hurricanes looked great in game 1 and it looked like they were going to breeze by the Islanders in their home games, but they definitely hit a rough patch in game 2 when they were given quite the scare. The Hurricanes found themselves down 3-0 in game 2 and had to claw their way back over the next 2 periods, specifically in the 3rd period when they scored 4 goals. They ended up making it 3-2 with 9 minutes left in the game and from there, everything just fell into place as they would score 3 goals in those last 9 minutes, winning the game 5-3 and taking a 2-0 series lead. That was a really tough game for them and they could have easily been heading to New York for game 3 with the series tied up 1-1. The Islanders haven't been good in their road games this year so the home advantage really helped the Hurricanes win that game as they started to steal the momentum late, but the Islanders were a lot better on home ice this season with their 20-10-10 home record and they will be looking to play a really similar game as they did in game 2 but without the late collapse this time. The Islanders showed they can go toe-to-toe with the Hurricanes in game 2 and with the home advantage on their side this time around, they can definitely steal a game at home in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Islanders to win this game or even on the puckline to keep it close. 

Hurricanes Islanders Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, April 25, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Islanders 3 Hurricanes 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Carolina Hurricanes: 174-100 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 64-32 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 39-18 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline off a home win scoring 4 or more goals. 19-8 UNDER vs. division opponents. 21-12 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs. 19-9 UNDER off a home win.

New York Islanders: 120-134 (-35 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-46 (-11.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 33-40 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline off a road loss. 6-3 UNDER as a # 3 seed in the playoffs. 26-17 UNDER revenging 2 straight losses where the opponent scored 3 or more goals. 

Key Injuries


Carolina Hurricanes:  B. Pesce (D) Ques Thurs - Lower Body. J. Fast (RW) Ques Thurs - Neck.

New York Islanders:  S. Mayfield (D) out for season - Lower Body.


Notable Quotes


“It was a special night for sure. It's one of those games that we'll probably look back on for a long time.” - Rod Brind’Amour after his team’s win against the Islanders in game 2 of this series on Monday.


“Obviously they took charge of the game with the penalties and then they took advantage of their power play to score that one goal. And then they got some momentum.” - Patrick Roy after his team’s loss against the Hurricanes in game 2 of this series on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Carolina Hurricanes
LW Guentzel, Jake
C Aho, Sebastian
RW Jarvis, Seth
LD Slavin, Jaccob
RD Burns, Brent
G Andersen, Frederik

New York Islanders
LW Cizikas, Casey
C Horvat, Bo
RW Barzal, Mathew
LD Romanov, Alexander
RD Dobson, Noah
G Varlamov, Semyon

Statistical Leaders


Carolina Hurricanes
Points: S. Aho (89)
Goals: S. Aho (36)
Assists: S. Aho (53)
GAA: F. Andersen (1.84)

New York Islanders
Points: M. Barzal (80)
Goals: B. Nelson (34)
Assists: N. Dobson (60)
GAA: S. Varlamov (2.60)

Coaches:
Carolina Hurricanes: Rod Brind'Amour (6th season)
New York Islanders: Patrick Roy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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