Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/24/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Bruins -108, Leafs -112; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Bruins -108, Leafs -112; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Bruins -108, Leafs -112; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Boston Bruins:  47-20-15 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  46-26-10 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Boston Bruins:  6-4-0 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  4-5-1 last 10

The Bruins are entering this game with 109 points, a 47-20-15 record overall, and they were 23-9-9 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one at home 3-2. Morgan Geekie and David Pastrňák each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jake DeBrusk, Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy, and Pavel Zacha each led the team in assists with 1 while Brad Marchand each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Linus Ullmark was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 33 shots with 30 saves and a .909 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 102 points, a 46-26-10 record overall, and they were 22-15-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Boston Bruins in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2. Auston Matthews, Max Domi, and John Tavares each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Auston Matthews led the team in assists with 2 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 29 shots with 27 saves and a .931 save percentage. Their offense has scored 303 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 263 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Bruins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Bruins and the 3rd seeded Maple Leafs in the Atlantic Division for Round 1 of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Leafs won game 2 of this series on the road. The Leafs won that 2nd game 3-2 and looked a lot better than they did in game 1, but now they are coming back home with the series tied and there is going to be a lot more pressure on them in front of the home crowd. The Leafs looked good on home ice this year with their 22-15-4 home record, but they were still better in their road games than they were at home this season. The Bruins have also looked good in their road games this year with their 23-9-9 road record and they will be looking to bounce back after such a close loss in a really tight game. The Bruins will not only be looking to bounce back here, but they will also be pushing harder to win this game now since the home advantage has been flipped and they know they now need to win a road game to get out of this series. The Bruins are going to respond to their loss on home ice so they don't go down in the series and they can take advantage of the Leafs on home ice where they haven't been at their best this year. The Leafs are going to have a lot of pressure on them to take a series lead here knowing they haven't had success against the Bruins in the playoffs in years and that pressure will make it very tough for them to follow through with another win in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bruins to win this game. 

Bruins Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, April 24, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bruins 4 Leafs 3.

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Boston Bruins: 169-92 (+24 units) on the moneyline in all games. 58-29 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 27-10 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less. 12-5 OVER after 3 consecutive division games. 11-3 OVER in the first round of the playoffs. 33-21 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 159-106 (-21.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 51-47 (-27.6 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 36-29 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 10-5 OVER in the first round of the playoffs. 12-5 OVER after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 26-18 OVER off a win or tie in their previous game.

Boston Bruins:  J. Brazeau (RW) Mid May - Upper Body. D. Forbort (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Poitras (C) out for season - Shoulder. M. Lucic (LW) out for season - Ankle.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  W. Nylander (RW) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. B. McMann (C) Ques Wed - Lower Body. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“No second guesses. He was terrific. He made multiple, big-time saves. It’s a strength of our team. Both of them played really well. We only scored two goals.” - Jim Montgomery after his team’s loss against the Maple Leafs in game 2 of this series on Monday.

“Great pass to find Auston in the manner that he did. That's big-time stuff the way those guys connected.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Bruins in game 2 of this series on Monday.

LW Marchand, Brad

C Coyle, Charlie

RW DeBrusk, Jake

LD Lindholm, Hampus

RD McAvoy, Charlie

G Ullmark, Linus

LW Bertuzzi, Tyler

C Matthews, Auston

RW Domi, Max

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Lyubushkin, Ilya

G Samsonov, Ilya

Points: D. Pastrnak (110)

Goals: D. Pastrnak (47)

Assists: D. Pastrnak (63)

GAA: J. Swayman (2.53)

Points: A. Matthews (107)

Goals: A. Matthews (69)

Assists: M. Marner (59)

GAA: M. Jones (2.87)

Coaches:

Boston Bruins: Jim Montgomery (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)