Boise State is Poised for Strong Finish to the Season

by Team Del Genio

Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023
The Team won our NCAA-F College Football Game of the Month last Saturday backing Boise State against Wyoming in a spot where they looked undervalued relative to the oddsmakers point spread expectations. The Broncos had been struck with some back luck in the first half of their season. After an understandable loss at Washington to begin their season, they then lost to Central Florida on a game-ending field goal. They later lost to Memphis after their attempted game-tying field goal in the third quarter was blocked and returned for a Golden Knights touchdown that was a 10-point swing that changed the direction of that game. The Broncos still only lost by a 35-32 score. Then two weeks ago, Boise State held a 30-10 lead at Colorado State with under five minutes to go before losing on a last-second Hail Mary pass by the Rams to steal that game. Those three losses were by a combined six points. 

The bye week for head coach Andy Avalos' club came just at the right time last week as they could regroup and get to work to finish the season on a strong note. The Broncos had covered the point spread in eight of their last nine games after a loss. The offense is getting healthy again with the offensive line coming into this game against the Cowboys in their best shape all season. Avalos expected running back George Holani to play as well after not playing since the opening game against the Huskies with a leg injury. The junior is a two-time 1000-yard rusher for Boise State after gaining 1157 rushing yards last season. Avalos has been rotating his quarterbacks yet has committed to sophomore Taylen Green as his starter for this game. Last year’s Mountain West Conference Freshman of the Year offers a dual threat with his legs. 

The Broncos hosted a Wyoming team last Saturday that they had beaten eight straight times at home at Albertson’s Stadium by more than 16 points per game. The Cowboys were on a three-game winning streak before a 34-27 loss at the Air Force two weeks ago as a 13-point underdog. Wyoming had been fortunate to win five of their first six games with special teams touchdowns and opposing quarterback injuries. Yet they were only outscoring their opponents by 0.7 net points per game, and they were getting outgained in yardage by 46 yards per game. They had lost both of their first two games on the road by an average of 14 points with their offense only averaging 18.5 points per game and 306 yards per game. On the road, they have covered the point spread in fourteen of their last forty-five games after winning two of their last three games. Wyoming had covered the point spread in fifteen of their last forty games on the road in conference play when the oddsmakers installed them as an underdog of up to seven points or as a favorite of up to seven points. 

Boise State made a statement right out of the gate against the Cowboys by scoring a touchdown on their first possession and then successfully converted their two-point play. Wyoming scored a touchdown near the end of the first quarter yet the Broncos scored the next 24 points to walk away with a 32-7 victory (giving us our NCAA-F College Football Game of the Month winner). Holani ran the ball 20 times for 75 yards while catching another three balls for 17 yards out of the backfield. Green played under center yet it was Madsen Maddux who starred for Boise State at quarterback by completing 12 of 15 passes for 147 yards with a touchdown pass while adding another 24 yards on the ground. 

With a 4-4 record going into the final month of the regular season, the Broncos are probably out of the race to play in the Mountain West Conference championship game being three games behind Fresno State and four games behind Air Force. Yet Boise State seems on track to play in another bowl game while being a dangerous team in the conference the rest of the way.

Good luck - TDG.

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